Rapid7 Report Finds Faster Exploitation and Expanding Ransomware Activity in 2025

· Original Report (PDF) ↗

Report discovered via Awesome Annual Security Reports.

Summary

Rapid7’s 2026 threat report finds confirmed exploitation of newly disclosed CVSS 7–10 flaws rose 105% in 2025. Weak MFA remained a leading intrusion factor, while ransomware leak posts increased 46.4%.

Key points

  • In Rapid7’s dataset of CVSS 7–10 vulnerabilities published in each analyzed year, confirmed exploited flaws increased from 71 in 2024 to 146 in 2025.
  • For same-year CVSS 7–10 disclosures subsequently added to CISA KEV, median publication-to-inclusion time fell from 8.5 to five days; this measures catalog inclusion, not the exact onset of exploitation.
  • Valid accounts without MFA accounted for 43.9% of Rapid7’s 2025 incident response cases, followed by vulnerability exploitation at 24.6% and exposed services at 7.0%.
  • Across underground forums monitored over six months, RDP represented 21.2% of advertised access, followed by VPN at 12.8% and RDWeb at 11.2%, illustrating the market for compromised remote access.
  • Ransomware appeared in 42% of Rapid7 MDR incident response investigations. Tracked leak posts rose from 6,034 to 8,835, while unique active groups increased from 102 to 140.
  • The report describes attackers abusing cloud identity, collaboration platforms, and edge infrastructure, with AI accelerating established phishing, reconnaissance, and operational workflows rather than necessarily introducing new capabilities.
  • Rapid7 recommends exposure-based remediation, stronger MFA and help-desk controls, rapid session and token invalidation, and isolated immutable backups with tested recovery procedures.

Article Details

Publisher
Rapid7
Report Period
2025-01-01 to 2025-12-31
Scope
Global vulnerability exploitation, incident response, underground access markets, ransomware leak-site activity, and state-aligned cyber operations.
Key Statistics
  • Among CVSS 7–10 vulnerabilities published in the calendar year analyzed, confirmed exploitation increased from 71 in 2024 to 146 in 2025, approximately 105%.
  • For same-year CVSS 7–10 disclosures subsequently added to CISA KEV, median publication-to-inclusion time fell from 8.5 days in 2024 to 5.0 days in 2025; the mean fell from 61.0 to 28.5 days.
  • Valid accounts without MFA accounted for 43.9% of Rapid7's 2025 incident response incidents; vulnerability exploitation accounted for 24.6%, and exposed services for 7.0%.
  • Ransomware was involved in 42% of Rapid7 MDR incident response investigations in 2025.
  • Observed ransomware leak posts increased from 6,034 in 2024 to 8,835 in 2025, a 46.4% rise; unique active groups increased from 102 to 140. Leak posts represent extortion claims rather than independently confirmed incidents.
Recommendations
  • Enforce correctly configured MFA on critical systems, remote access points, and privileged accounts; limit push attempts and enable number matching.
  • Harden help-desk procedures and restrict high-risk password resets.
  • Continuously patch network-edge devices, prioritizing known exploitation and organizational exposure.
  • Maintain immutable backups isolated from production networks and regularly test recovery procedures.
  • Monitor outbound AI API calls, protect API tokens, and log agent and tool actions.

MITRE ATT&CK

T1078 · Valid AccountsAttackers repeatedly used legitimate credentials and accounts without MFA for initial access.T1090 · ProxyORB networks used compromised routers and edge devices as proxy meshes between operators and victims.T1102.002 · Bidirectional CommunicationEarth Kurma used Cisco Webex rooms and APIs for command retrieval and document exfiltration.T1133 · External Remote ServicesVPN and RDP access were recurring intrusion paths and commonly advertised underground access types.T1136 · Create AccountRapid7 observed Crimson Collective creating new users after obtaining access through exposed cloud credentials.T1190 · Exploit Public-Facing ApplicationInvestigations identified exploitation of internet-facing VPN appliances, file-transfer systems, and collaboration platforms.T1195.002 · Compromise Software Supply ChainAttackers hijacked the GraphQL Network Inspector developer account and distributed a malicious extension update; the report also describes a backdoored postmark-mcp package.T1486 · Data Encrypted for ImpactRansomware operations encrypted victim data, frequently after or alongside data theft.T1499 · Endpoint Denial of ServiceCVE-2025-12562 allowed resource-intensive GraphQL queries to exhaust GitLab resources.T1499.003 · Application Exhaustion FloodNoName057 (16) and related hacktivist activity shifted toward application-layer attacks targeting specific web application functions.T1539 · Steal Web Session CookieThe malicious GraphQL Network Inspector update harvested browser session cookies alongside API keys and authentication tokens.T1550.004 · Web Session CookieStolen session cookies from infostealer logs allowed attackers to hijack active sessions and bypass MFA.T1566.001 · Spearphishing AttachmentThe report describes APT intrusions using spearphishing emails with malicious attachments.

CVE

Threat Actors

AkiraIdentified as a prominent ransomware group in 2025; Rapid7 recorded 640 leak-site posts attributed to it.APT28Explicitly identified as APT28; used LAMEHUG to generate command-line instructions through LLM APIs.Cl0pExploited CVE-2025-61882 as a zero-day against Oracle E-Business Suite to steal financial and human resources data for extortion.Crimson CollectiveObserved using TruffleHog in September to locate cloud credentials, then creating users and escalating privileges.DragonForceLowered affiliate entry barriers and was described as conducting a hostile takeover of RansomHub in Q2 2025.Earth KumihoExplicitly identified as Kimsuky; hosted encrypted payloads in public GitHub repositories and used Dropbox for C2 and exfiltration.Earth KurmaUsed DOWNBEGIN and SIMPOWEBEXSPY to abuse Cisco Webex for command-and-control and document exfiltration.ICE RELICDescribed as using cloud-centric credential theft, token abuse, and Microsoft 365 device-code authentication abuse.KimsukyExplicitly identified as Earth Kumiho; used public repositories and legitimate SaaS infrastructure for payload hosting, C2, and exfiltration.LAPSUS$Identified as a constituent group of the Scattered LAPSUS$ Hunters extortion collective.NoName057(16)Pro-Russian denial-of-service collective targeting European government, public-sector, election, transportation, and media infrastructure.QilinLed the report's 2025 ransomware leak-post ranking with 1,029 posts and operated a double-extortion RaaS model.RansomHubRansomware operation described as the subject of DragonForce's hostile takeover in Q2 2025.SafepayDescribed as a ransomware group operating independently rather than through RaaS.Salt TyphoonTargeted telecommunications infrastructure and lawful interception systems for large-scale traffic collection.SandwormDescribed as deploying PathWiper against critical infrastructure for strategic sabotage.Scattered Lapsus$ HuntersExtortion collective comprising Scattered Spider, ShinyHunters, and LAPSUS$, combining capabilities including phishing and data exfiltration.Scattered SpiderIdentified as a constituent group of the Scattered LAPSUS$ Hunters extortion collective.ShinyHuntersIdentified as a constituent group of the Scattered LAPSUS$ Hunters extortion collective.Volt TyphoonDescribed as maintaining stealthy access in critical infrastructure, including energy and telecommunications, using Living Off the Land techniques.WarlockIdentified as a prominent ransomware group using double extortion and potential auctions of stolen data.

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